Humana Challenge Picks

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**Below this paragraph is the intro to the 2012 Humana Challenge picks that I have sent out to my clients.  If you are an email member of GolfPicks.net you will know that we are switching to a yearly membership and all picks will be sent via email only to those who sign up for the picks.  I’ve released 6 outright winner picks (my six pack system) along with 3 head-to-head match up picks to members.  If you’d like to sign up for a membership you will receive the 2012 Humana Challenge picks as well as ALL picks for the 2012 PGA Tour season — please visit GolfBanker.com to sign up**

I would like to welcome everyone to the 2012 edition of the Humana Challenge. This week the Tour makes a stop in California at an event that always sees plenty of birdies. The event has previously been associated with Bob Hope, but has now moved partnerships to be with the Clinton Foundation. The tournament has also gone from a 90-hole marathon to the regular 72-hole style the PGA Tour players are accustomed to playing. Though the name, charity and format may have changed, I can assure everyone the scoring will continue to be on the verge of ridiculous. Let’s take a closer look at the courses the players will be piling up the birdies on.

The 2012 Humana Challenge Courses

PGA WEST (Nicklaus)

This Nicklaus designed golf course features elegant beauty and plenty of birdie and eagle holes. Measuring only 6951 yards in length and a Par 72, PGA West offers plenty of excitement for the fans and players. This course features plenty of reachable Par 5s, a Par 3 that you will probably see a hole in one on (number 7), and 4 water hazards that will come into play. Nicklaus is one of the world’s best course designers, and although this is not one of his most challenging, it is extremely entertaining.

PGA WEST (Palmer)

Arnold Palmer designed this course and it will be played by all players for 2 rounds this week (with everyone playing it on Sunday). The PGA WEST Palmer course is 6930 yards and plays as a Par 72. The course record on this short but interesting track is a sizzling 59, shot by David Duval in 1999. This course ranked as the 2nd easiest played in 2011, only one spot easier than its partner in crime PGA WEST (Nicklaus), which was ranked 49th out of 51.

If you would like to watch plenty of eagles, set up at number 2 on the PGA WEST (Palmer) course. This hole ranked as the easiest hole on the course last year as the Par 5 measures only 514 yards. Even the Tours shorter hitters will be on this green putting for eagles.

La Quinta CC

If you would like to walk one of these 3 courses and just enjoy the beauty, this is the one to choose. La Quinta CC is lined with vegetation that ranges from rose bushes to tropical banana trees. The course plays as a Par 72 like the others on this circuit, but is the longest measuring 7060. Though this is not long at all by PGA standards, La Quinta gives the players very long Par 3s, to go along with shorter Par 4s and 5s.

The courses shortest Par 3 is the 7th hole, measuring only 168 yards. What the hole lacks in distance, it makes up for in scenery. In 1999 an amazing waterfall was added to this gem of a hole, funneling into a pond in front of the green. Look for some players to choose the wrong club here, possibly going into the water, especially if any wind picks up. Overall a very fun hole to watch and play.

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Since I was young I’ve spent as much time on the golf course as the weather will allow me to. As I began to bet on sports I figured I would try my luck at the sport I know the best - golf. I began hitting winners on a regular basis and have turned it into a really solid part time income profiting in 8 of the last 9 years.

5 Comments

  1. Old Tournament New Name.

    It may say the Humana Challenge sponsored by Bill Clinton Foundation but this is the old Bob Hope Desert Classic on the same courses (sorta) as always.

    This is a weird tournament now played over 3 courses with a Saturday cut? it used to be a 5 day tournament over 4 course with a Saturday cut. For fantasy players what is important is to split your team into two halfs.

    The La Quinta course is 1 stroke tougher on average then the easier palmmer Course. This being California with the late day winds and spikey greens the afternoon is about 1 stroke harder then the morning. So its possible if you set your team up wrong to be at a two stroke disadvantage.

    The simple solution is to create an La Quinta Thursday team that sits on your bench Day 1 and thus one will never be stuck playing anyone on La Quinta.

    This is a bombers layout. Note the top 3 last year Vegas, B Hass, Woodland are all bombers. look at who has won Perez, Trajan, Michaelson (twice), Hoffman, Campbell, couples all long hitters. Only Weir in 2003 has won as a short hitter (and he was longer back then). This tournament in won by stars and second tier players , Not journeymen. So this is a week to play “good” well known golfers

    But length is not enough. you got to roll the rock and have a smooth stroke to survive the late afternoon greens.

    so the key Stats this week are:
    Driving Length, Total Driving, Par 5 Birdie Leaders, Total Putting.

    NOTE: If you are not interested in Yahoo Fantasy golf stop reading here

    Note my entire bench is playing on LQ Thursday.

    A
    Picks

    Howell
    Michaelson

    Drops
    Kuchar
    Villegas

    Avoids
    Vegas
    Revie

    B
    Picks
    Hass
    D Johnosn
    Dejong
    Van Pelt

    Drops
    Kim
    Kokrac
    Kirk
    Streelman

    Avoids
    Toms
    Norman
    B Davis
    Gainy

    C
    Picks
    Gay
    Cauly (love his swing)

    Drops
    V Taylor
    Hearn

    Avoids
    Dimarco
    Bettencourt
    and bonus
    Appleby
    Barnes

    GLTA

  2. ok now for my bets

    To win

    $5 each on Hass +1800, Howell +2600, D Johnson +2300, Bud Cauley + 6000

    Bill Hass was second last year ad fit the bomber profile and known 2nd tier type golfer that wins here.

    Howell has great record here and is hot finsihing tied second last week. Looking like his old winning self.

    D Johnosn is coming off a knee injury but all fantasy source says he is healthy and has the length and ability to dominate this course the only question is his rustyness but this is why you are getting good odds.

    B Cauly is a rookie but i jsut loved his swing last week. His swing was freaking gorgeous perfectly balanced huge silky smooth tempo reminded me of a oyung Fred Couples but with even more length. I predict this kid will win one this year.

    Tournament Bet is Dejong -130 over Vegas.

    Vegas is the defending champion but he has not done much since his win and finsihed the year tending downward and is starting this year the same. he was really low rated in last years rookie review and his win is lookingm ore and more like a fluke. Add in the pressure of defending and it could be a bad week for Vegas. Dejong is coming on end of last year decent record here top 20 last yerar and looked good this year. it looks like a bargain taking defending champion at +115 but its a trap so lay the wwiod and bet on Dejong.

    Ropund 1 bets is English -120 over Dimarco.

    Dimarco is getting old and is again playing limited schedulew. This is a terrible course for an older shorter vet with putting woes. English is another leeser known really young rookie but looked good last week at times on Fridays TV Coverage. This is definately more of a bet against Dimarco thne on English

    GLTA will update future day plays jsut like last week

    Jim

  3. UPDATE

    Lost round 1 bet by one stroke -4 to -3 when Dimarco birdied 18th hole. Dimarco played much better then I anticipated But English had t it to 4 under early bogeyed two in a row on back and only got 1 birdie over last 5 holes.

    Round 2 is one of my traditional plays betting against those who went real low in first round to not sustain it in the second.

    Stringing together two low rounds in a row is a very very tough feat so today like.

    Brendon De Jong (-7) -105 over Toms (-9 First)

  4. UPDATE

    Toms is obviously the rare Vet who can still string 2 rounds together and I was clearly wrong to bet against him so now 0-2 for week

    Round 3 Sabbatinin -145 over Maggert. Sabbatinin record was not quite good enuf here to be an official pick but his game and Stat profile were good enuf. Maggert has a bad record here a spotty record in Hawaii and has not traditionally been a West Coast early season performer.

    Matchup seems to favor Sabbatinin and lets hope it does.

  5. UPDATE Round 4

    Won round 3 by one stroke as Sabbatini beat Maggert this Sunday morning -4 to -3

    round 4 taking M Wilson -110 over Garrigus.

    Garrigus was 11 under round 3 and not a great history.

    M Wilson is definately an early year player with wins.

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