2013 Tampa Bay Championship Expert Picks


Last week we yet again had the runner up in a tournament. Steve Stricker played terrific golf all week and possibly should have kept a few of those putting tips to himself. We move onto the Transitions Championship this week for another great Florida event. Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club will be the venue for this week’s PGA Tour stop. Located in Palm Harbor, Florida, Innisbrook is one of the more difficult tests of the year. Let’s take a closer look at the course.


Innisbrook is a Par 71 7340 yard course that forces the players to be accurate. Known as Copperhead, the course challenges players to take risks on the par 5’s, and to play positional golf on the Par3’s and 4’s. The course record is held by Padraig Harrington after he fired a crazy 61 in his opening round of the 2012 tournament. A score like this will most likely not happen this week, but we will probably see a 63.

Copperhead features a total of 75 bunkers and 9 water hazards. The greens are extremely difficult and the tree-lined fairways pose a problem for any player who hits an errant shot. When the original architect Larry Packard designed this course in 1971, he had a terrific vision in mind. He wanted this to be a player’s golf course. He wanted a track that will challenge everyone who steps foot on it but also reward excellent golf. I can tell you, Larry succeeded.

The most difficult hole on the course is the Par 4 16th. At 460 yards it forces the players to hit a deep and solid first shot. Water lines the entire right side of the hole forcing many players to miss the fairway left. The green is wide but it uses its undulation and tricky breaks to protect it. Look for players who leave the 16th with a par to very happy with their score, as over the past 12 years it has played to a 4.3 stroke average.


We have eight past champions of the Transitions Championship competing this week. KJ Choi (2002, 2006) Retief Goosen (2003, 2009) Vijay Singh (2004) Carl Pettersson (2005) Sean O’Hair (2008) Jim Furyk (2010), Gary Woodland (2011) and Luke Donald (2012). The field also features four players who currently reside in the Top 10 of the World Golf Rankings (Luke Donald 3rd, Louis Oosthuizen 6th, Adam Scott 7th, and Matt Kuchar 9th).

This tournament for some reason has favored the experienced golfers over the years. All you have to do is look at the past winners who will be returning this week. Some young guns will attempt to change that trend and as we have seen this year, it very well could happen. Be sure to tune into the young sensations such as Japans Ryo Ishikawa, South Korea’s Seung-Yul Noh, and a slew of talent from the United States (Harris English, Bud Cauley, Patrick Cantlay, and John Huh).

Steve’s Six Pack System Picks for Tampa Bay Championship

Here are this week’s six-pack of golfers I like to win the tournament outright. **Odds are based on 5dimes.eu**. I will be (and recommend) placing 1% of my golf bankroll on each golfer to win the tournament outright.

The full 6-pack system will be sent to members only, but I’m going to be giving away one of them as a free pick below:

dufner at tampa bay championshipJASON DUFNER 20 TO 1 – Dufner’s game is rounding into form after a solid showing at the Cadillac Championship last week. He posted three rounds of 69 and finished the tournament in a tie for 12th. Dufner now moves to a course that sets up perfectly for him and one he has enjoyed success on. Players must be accurate and enjoy a solid short game at Innisbrook. Dufner possesses both of these attributes and they will be on display this week. Since 2009 Dufner has not finished outside of the Top 28 at Innisbrook. These finishes included a T10 last season, a tournament where he opened up with back to back 66’s. Dufner will be playing from the short grass a lot this week, as he hits the 6th most fairways on Tour. Thanks to Dufner’s accurate driving he hits the 15th most Greens in Regulation on Tour. You will not see much emotion out of Dufner but he will be having fun while playing well in Palm Harbor.

The other picks include 3 golfers who’s odds are over 120/1 (meaning if they win a $100 bet would pay out $12,000+).  I don’t want you to miss out on this week’s picks – click here to become a member.

Lets get another winner this week on Tour.



About Author

Since I was young I’ve spent as much time on the golf course as the weather will allow me to. As I began to bet on sports I figured I would try my luck at the sport I know the best - golf. I began hitting winners on a regular basis and have turned it into a really solid part time income profiting in 8 of the last 9 years.

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